S2S Model Builder (Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Forecasting)

This skill actively helps you design, implement, and train S2S forecasting models from scratch.

It generates:

• PyTorch model architectures
• Training loops
• CRPS loss implementations
• Data preprocessing pipelines (ERA5-style)
• Evaluation scripts
• Multi-GPU training configurations
• Inference pipelines

Supported paradigms include:

• FuXi-style transformer architectures
• FengWu-style Earth system transformers
• AIFS-inspired probabilistic models
• Ensemble neural forecasting
• Multi-lead-time forecasting heads

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What This Skill Can Build

1. Model Architecture Code

• 3D spatiotemporal transformers
• Global grid attention models
• Multi-variable input pipelines (Z500, T2M, winds, SST)
• Lead-time conditioned decoders
• Ensemble output heads

2. Training Infrastructure

• PyTorch training loops
• Distributed training (FSDP-ready structure)
• Mixed precision support
• Gradient accumulation
• Checkpoint saving

3. Probabilistic Forecasting

• CRPS loss (Gaussian & ensemble forms)
• Quantile regression heads
• Spread-skill diagnostics
• Reliability calibration utilities

4. Evaluation Code

• CRPS computation
• ACC metric implementation
• RMSE across forecast horizons
• Skill vs climatology baseline

5. Deployment-Ready Inference

• Batched inference scripts
• Memory-optimized forward passes
• Model export patterns

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Example Prompts

• “Generate a FuXi-style transformer in PyTorch for 30-day Z500 forecasting.”
• “Build a CRPS loss function for ensemble S2S outputs.”
• “Create a full ERA5 training pipeline scaffold.”
• “Design a multi-lead-time S2S forecasting head.”
• “Implement distributed training for global 1° resolution data.”

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External Endpoints

This skill does not call external APIs.

All generated code runs locally within the user’s environment.

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Security & Privacy

• No external API calls
• No automatic dataset downloads
• No remote execution
• No hidden scripts
• All code is generated transparently

Users are responsible for lawful dataset usage (e.g., ERA5 licensing).

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Model Invocation Note

This skill may be automatically invoked when user queries involve:

• Building S2S models
• FuXi / FengWu / AIFS implementations
• CRPS training
• AI weather model architecture
• ERA5 training pipelines

Users may opt out by disabling the skill.

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Trust Statement

By using this skill, you acknowledge it generates code for AI-based climate forecasting systems. No data is transmitted externally. All execution occurs within your own environment.

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Version

v1.0.0
Last updated: Feb 16, 2026